Where Is Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV) Stock Driving To?

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:HOV) is among the top stocks that may remain in focus today as the company shares are trading 4.4% or 0.24 points lower from last closing price of $5.45, reaching $5.21 at last check. Any clue why there is so much of action in the HOV stock? The share price has dropped in 3 of the last 5 days and is down -62.26% over the past week. It will be exciting to see whether the stock manages to continue decreasing or take a minor break for the next few days. The move came on weak volume too with far less shares changing hands than in a normal session. Trading activity as of this writing weakened by -18,772 shares, and in total 62628 shares valued at $326292 were seen changing hands compared with 81400 shares valued at $443630 recorded at the previous session. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on lower prices shows the bearish trend but this is an early indication which means that the HOV stock is near its bottom.

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV) shares have notched a 3-month decline of about -62.26%, but has still tumbled -66.78% year to date. By comparison, the stock sank -86.15% over the past 12 months, while it slipped -35.31% over the 1 month. The company’s market cap is around $40.61M, with its short interest ratio standing at 4.69%.

In the current trading session for HOV, the stock witnessed two major price actions, it rose to a high of $5.46 and was down as much as $5.17 at one point. The high recorded is very low when compared to their 52-week high which is $5.16. The 52-week high is now at -87.88 distance from current price. Their recent low of $43.25 represents a 1.55% recovery. This data is quite important for investors who look to benefit from the recent rise of the company’s stock. The price target currently for HOV is $11, this is below the recent high that the stock attained. Taking a look at the overall sentimental views of financial analysts, the trading pattern of this stock recently is very clear.

The stock of Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. earned $1.47 per share in the trailing 12 months and has a P/E ratio of 3.54. You can compare it with that of similar companies in its industry to get a sense of whether the stock you’re looking to purchase is overvalued or undervalued. Its current price to earnings ratio is lower than the ones recorded by the industry which is 9.95 and lower compared to the sector’s average of 18.76. When the P/E ratio is low let’s say below 1.0, then the stock price is considered a good value. HOV also has P/S multiple of 0.02. This is smaller versus the 12 month P/S ratios of other companies in the same indutry. The peer average price to sales ratio is 58565.68x.

The company recorded an interesting insider purchase transaction by the Director on Apr 14, 2016. A Securities and Exchanges Commission filings show that Vincent Pagano Jr bought a total of 14,535 HOV shares that day for a sum of around $25,291. The filings show that the insider stake has now grown to 111,688 shares, currently worth $581,894. Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV) insiders have acquired 103,612 shares in the stock within the past three months. The total insider sales reported to the SEC in that time frame amounted to 841 shares. In total, individual insiders traded 104,453 shares in the business, which makes up 11.159% of 936,039 shares that were traded over a year. In the past 12 months, insiders have purchased 519,405 shares while the seller parted with 416,634 shares.

HOV‘s last price was down -68.08% as compared to the average trading price of 50 days recorded at $16.32 while enlarging the period to 200 trading days, the average closing price was $7.32. At present, there are 7.15 million in the total number of common shares owned by the public and among those 4.61 million shares have been available to trade. The percentage of shares being held by the company management was 6% while institutions stake was 32.5%. The company has generated negative returns on equity over the last 12 months (-2%). It managed to keep its gross profit margin at 17.6% over the past 12 months.

When assessing the full upside of the HOV stock, there is another set of technicals that should be looked into and considered. Its -14.97% decline from moving average of $6.13 has brought about a negative sentiment when calculated over the last 20 days. The market has allocated a beta of 1.86 to the stock. With the beta been greater than one, this implies that the company shares are theoretically more volatile than the market, something that the traders definitely are keeping an eye on.

Most of the analysts surveyed by Thomson/First Call think quite highly of Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. — 0 analysts rate the stock as a buy with another 0 rating it strong buy. There are 2 analysts who maintain a hold rating for the stock, with 0 giving it a sell rating. Analysts arrived at a 12-month price target of $32.5 on shares of Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:HOV), which corresponds to 510.90% upside potential than its current market price of $5.21 and implies potential despite the recent drop in the price. However, their current target price has fallen from $32.5 a month ago and is down handily from the consensus target of $32.5 a quarter ago.

In the last five years, the EPS of the company has been roughly -32.7%. Though the percentage looks disappointing, extra headwinds are emerging as looking out over a next 5-year period, with analysts estimating that their earnings will decrease annually by 0%. The revenue of the company has risen at an average annualized rate of about 1.5 over the last five years. The company recently recorded a drop of -12.3%, but this figure is rather unattractive.

Let’s briefly check the hedge fund interest towards HOV stock. Vanguard Group Inc. added position in the company after it grew 28.5% or 159,958 shares of its common stock. The hedge fund now owns 205,546 shares worth $1,070,895, SEC documents show. BlackRock Inc. cut assets in the stock as 318212.7 shares have been sold, reducing its stake by -68.5% to 100,237 shares which are currently valued at $522,235. In addition, Northern Trust Corp recently reported that it now owns 53,315 shares making a total of $277,771 based on the recent price. This refelects a change of -8.1% in their ownership.